Oscar Predictions

Tonight is the 81st Annual Academy Awards, which means its the last chance to shout out those Oscar picks before running to your local bookie. So, there are my choices in the six major categories; Best Supporting Actors, Best Actors, Best Director, and Best Film.

Right off the bat, the Best Supporting Oscar will go to Heath Ledger. He gave a balls-to-the-wall performance as the Joker in The Dark Knight and despite his untimely death, his penultimate performance will be awarded this weekend. If I had to choose a runner up in the category, it would be Josh Brolin for his performance in Milk.

Best Supporting Actress will probably go to Penolope Cruz for her role as the icy wife of a highly sexual painter in "Vicky Christina Barcelona." Mind you, I haven't seen the movie, but Cruz is sweeping up as many awards as she can get for her work in Woody Allen's sexual farce. My runner up choice would have to be Marisa Tomei and her stunning performance in The Wrestler.

Best Actress will hopefully go to Kate Winslet and her performance as The Reader. She has been snubbed 5 times for an Oscar and she's only 33 years old! The vulnerability and complexity in her performance as a Nazi Concentration Camp worker has been getting a lot of attention and a lot of awards. With respect to the fellow nominees- Angelina Jolie, Meryl Streep, Anne Hathaway, and Melissa Leo- I think this will be Kate's year unless the Academy wants to tease her with another nomination and another loss like past legends like Al Pacino (8 nominations until he finally got one) and Peter O'Toole.

The category that has me sweating is the Best Actor category. Its going to come down between Sean Penn and Mickey Rourke's performances in "Milk" and "The Wrestler." Both performances were so incredible and astounding that I cannot choose between the two of them. I'm just going to predict a Hail Mary by hoping that another tie be given at the Oscars. Exactly 40 years ago, Barbara Streisand and Katherine Hepburn were the first actors to win for the same category. I'm hoping that this once-in-every-40-years chance comes along for Penn and Rourke.

I am 99.9% positive that "Slumdog Millionaire" will pick up Best Picture and Best Director for Danny Boyle. The film was simply remarkable! Boyle's intense camera picks up the story of a kid from the slums of Mubai, India and how he is steps away for winning a fortune on "Who Wants to Be A Millionaire?" As simplistic as the story sounds, it is an astounding work of art that deserves all the recognition and praise it deserves.

Okay, here's the recap of winners and tonight's awards will either be a huge sigh of relief for my choices, a succession of surprise slaps in the face, or a night of fury and anger (as if I'm not already angry over Peter Gabriel boycotting his performance and Springsteen being snubbed!).

Best Picture-Slumdog Millionaire
Best Director- Danny Boyle (Slumdog Millionaire)
Best Actor- Sean Penn"Milk" /Mickey Rourke "The Wrestler"
Best Actress - Kate Winslet "The Reader"
Best Supporting Actress - Penelope Cruz "Vicky Christina Barcelona"
Best Supporting Actor - Heath Ledger "The Dark Knight"

The Wrestler

****

Every decade has at least one sports film that is timeless and original. In the 1960s, it was This Sporting Life. In the ‘70s, it was Rocky. In the ‘80s, it was Raging Bull. Darren Aronofsky’s The Wrestler fits the list as the best sports film of the decade. The film follows Randy “The Ram” Robinson, a burnt-out, broke and downtrodden wrestler who tries to relive the glory days of his success by trying to make the ultimate comeback.

In the ring, Robinson takes down the wrestlers with guts and glory as he jumps from the turnbuckle and onto the mat. Behind the ring, he’s either stocking shelves at a grocery store, befriending a middle-aged stripper, or alone in his van with only his memories and painkillers to keep him company. As he heals the wounds that would make a biblical stoning seem like a massage, Randy tries to remain upbeat and ready for anything as if the audience- at least what’s left of them- are always there for him.

Aronofsky brilliantly captures the distinction between reality and fiction with a raw and unflinching eye mixed with Robert D. Siegel’s original story of the jagged paths of glory Robinson tries to cross. Behind Siegel’s script is a stunning cast. Marisa Tomei is stunning as Pam, a sexy and fragile stripper who befriends Rourke. The fragility and isolation Tomei faces while giving a lap dance or working the pole strikes similar chords to Sandra Oh’s performance as an artistic exotic dancer in Dancing at the Blue Iguana. Evan Rachel Wood channels the emotional angst of her troubled protagonist in Thirteen in a mature fashion in her portrayal as Randy’s estranged daughter.

The word “comeback” has been casually thrown around during awards season in the past when mentioning John Travolta in Pulp Fiction, or James Coburn in Affliction. Calling Mickey Rourke’s performance as Randy “The Ram” Robinson a comeback would be an insult; it is watching a phoenix rising from the ashes of seclusion and personal defeat. Richard Harris’s tenacity and battered body from This Sporting Life mixed with the self pity and fury of De Niro in Raging Bull equals Rourke’s wrestling antihero. Seeing Rourke emotionally and physically battered and beaten to a pulp is like watching Icarus fall from grace; tragic, yet beautiful.

The Wrestler is a cinematic cocktail of Dante’s Inferno and Dylan’s “Like A Rolling Stone”; a profound tale that will leave you emotionally and physically drained as if you spent 105 minutes in the ring.

Berlin

Steve Buscemi once called him “one of rock’s most unflinching artists.” After 40 years of recording and performing, it is a title that still underrates Lou Reed. In 1973, after the success of his post-Velvet Underground album Transformer, Reed created one of his most ambitious projects, Berlin. It was a commercial bomb. In 2006, he brought Berlin back to the stage and it was captured by artist/director Julian Schnabel in his new concert film, Lou Reed’s Berlin.

Berlin is as powerful on screen as it was on the turntables 35 years ago. Reed’s searing indictment of urban sprawl, drug abuse, and sadomasochism will leave you craving for another musical fix. From the first note (and frame) to last, Reed and his band deliver a strong and powerful performance of a lost work of art. Like Brian Wilson reviving SMiLE in 2004, Reed digs up his own musical Lazarus.

At his performance at St. Ann’s Warehouse in Brooklyn, Reed doesn’t make it into a rehashing of old material; he comes on stage armed with his band, a string and wind ensemble, and the haunting, yet beautiful voices of the Brooklyn Youth Chorus. Julian Schnabel recruits his daughter, Lola, and fellow artist, Alejandro Garmendia, to film short films projected onto the stage emphasizing the drug-induced melodrama Reed presents to the audience. The short films, entwined with Reed’s bombastic performance, are a dazzling spectacle for the eyes and ears. Looking at it makes one reminisce about the early days of Reed and his live gigs at Warhol’s Hit Factory.

The sporadic rhymes of Lou Reed and his powerhouse chords will leave you stunned. Check out Reed’s performance of “Men of Good Fortune” as he casually strums a powerful A- minor chord during the song’s adrenaline-fueled coda. Notice his homage to the early German novelty songs of Kurt Weill in “Caroline Says” or the Brooklyn Choir’s ominous voices personifying the destruction and decay of Reed’s musical protagonist. The list goes on and on like an 18 minute performance of “Heroin.” The credits roll to Lou breaking out one of his signature hits; “Sweet Jane.” The DVD features include a road film of Reed’s 2007 European Tour of Berlin.

Don’t expect a revealing Madonna: Truth or Dare atmosphere. It’s more of a sobering montage of Schnabel’s elaborate sets being built and displayed to audiences in Paris and Italy. Also on the DVD, Reed and Julian Schnabel sit down with Elvis Costello on his new show, “Spectacle.” What could be more satisfying than seeing 3 great artists shooting the breeze?

Lou Reed’s Berlin is worth watching and listening at top volume. If you can’t wait to get Lou Reed’s soundtrack to the film, “Live from St. Ann’s Warehouse” (available on November 4^th), rush out and get this DVD. The chemistry of Schnabel’s camera and Reed’s music leaves you asking “why such a musical masterpiece, like Berlin, was shafted by audiences after its original release 35 years ago?”

Critics Choice Awards

Happy (belated) New Year to you all! Sorry I haven't gotten around to the blog like I said I would, but with the holidays and all, I was pretty busy. Last night, I caught the Critics Choice Awards and there seemed to be no surprises for who won.

Heath Ledger received the Best Supporting Actor Award for The Dark Knight, which adds on to the plethora of awards he has gotten for his twisted and masterful performance as The Joker.

Best Supporting Actress went to Kate Winslet for her performance as a Nazi War Criminal in The Reader.

In the new category, Best Action Film, The Dark Knight took home the award. It seems that the category was another way of saying "Here, you made a shitload of money and we don't want to get crucified by the Batman fans when they realize that The Dark Knight didn't win Best Picture. Just take the award"

The surprise of the evening was the tie between Meryl Streep and Anne Hathaway for Best Actress. Anne focused on her former "Devil Wears Prada" co-star during the bulk of the speech as if she were receiving a lifetime achievement award. The tie signifies that it is neck to neck between the two actresses on getting the gold at the Oscars. Who knows? The last tie for an Academy Award was 40 years ago, and it could happen again.

Milk took home honors for Best Ensemble and Best Actor for Sean Penn. Despite the amazing nominees from Mickey Rourke and Clint Eastwood, Penn might be getting another Oscar.

Slumdog Millionaire came out as the winner of Best Director for Danny Boyle and Best Picture. This love story from India could come out on top as the film of 2008 at the other major award ceremonies.

Sunday's Golden Globes will be the deciding factor on who will be in the Oscar circle. Hopefully, there will be an actual awards ceremony this year unlike what happened during last year's writer's strike.

Happy-Go-Lucky

***1/2

Mike Leigh has been highly praised for his barebones approach at social class in England with films like Naked and Secrets and Lies. Leigh’s latest film, Happy-Go-Lucky, is a funny, warm-hearted tale about looking on the bright side of life. Poppy (Sally Hawkins) is a plucky, free-spirited kindergarten teacher who always has a smile on her face. When she is faced with stuff that would piss anybody off-like sharing a car with an uptight driving instructor (a very funny Eddie Marsden) or having your bike stolen- she laughs it off and cracks a few jokes with her friends.

Sally Hawkins (Little Britain, Vera Drake) is beautiful and funny in her performance as Poppy. The best way to describe Poppy is like Diane Keaton in Annie Hall, only she’s decked out in Technicolor shirts and tights rather than pantsuits. She’s always being told to take life seriously, but she remains upbeat and independent making her the envy of her family and friends. If only you knew someone who was like that in this serious world.

Leigh has been known for pointing the camera at British desolation and poverty. He remains true to that during an unlikely encounter between Poppy and a schizophrenic pauper. Eddie Marsden also fits in with Leigh’s social realism circle by lecturing Poppy on life’s disappointments and how the end is always around every turn. He channels David Thewlis’ antihero in Naked (minus the misogyny and rape) by explaining that the Washington Monument is symbolic to Satan.

Despite all of the bleakness and harsh views at reality, you will come out of Happy-Go-Lucky feeling happy-go-lucky.

Gran Torino

Rating: ****

If you were to thumb through the dictionary to find the definition for "bad-ass", you would probably see a picture of Clint Eastwood. Gran Torino is Eastwood's latest film, and it shows the Man from Malpaso at his best as an actor and director. In the last four years, Eastwood stayed out of frame and behind the camera with his two WWII epics, Flags of our Fathers, Letters From Iwo Jima, and Changeling. Now, Eastwood stars as Walt Kowalski: a cantankerous Korean War vet battling with his past demons while playing the reluctant mentor to a kid (Bee Vang), who tried to steal his prized possession, a 1972 Gran Torino.

Kowalski lives in internal isolation and sheer bitterness. Besides telling racist jokes over a bottle of Pabst Blue Ribbon and a shot of whisky, he finds salvation in fixing up his house and staying away from his careless offspring. After stopping his new neighbor, a timid Asian teenager, from stealing his Gran Torino, Kowalski puts him through a rigorous regimen of hard work and learning how to advocate himself from the gang bangers that live in the neighborhood.

It may seem like a cliched story, but when it comes to having an actor like Eastwood going through an emotional gauntlet of redemption with his M1 rifle in his hand, you cannot bare to miss the experience. Eastwood gets you right in the jugular by blending the violence and loneliness of life with the use of sharp contrasts in lighting, slow establishment shots, and an ominous score by Kyle Eastwood, Clint's son.

Clint has always been asked if he was going to do another Dirty Harry movie. Besides pulling a Schwarzenegger or Harrison Ford, Eastwood's portrayal of Walt Kowalski makes Harry Callahan look like a socialist pansy. At 78, Eastwood shows no signs of weakness in his acting and directing; he is an unstoppable force with as much coolness and attitude than his '72 Gran Torino.

Golden Globe Reactions

In the last few years, I've seen how predictable the Golden Globes can be. This year, it is going to be very tough to choose who will come out shining. The only film I see that's going to pick up an award is WALL-E for Best Animated Film. WALL-E might win Best Song for "Down to Earth" written by Thomas Newman and Peter Gabriel.

What made my head spin was the nominees for Best Supporting Actor. Surprise, surprise! Heath Ledger got nominated for The Dark Knight, but that didn't make my head spin. Seeing Tom Cruise and Robert Downey Jr. being nominated for Tropic Thunder made me laugh out loud. Both are great actors, and someone like Downey being nominated for playing a dude, whose playing a dude disguised as another dude is worth the recognition, but not for an award. It also ticked me off that James Franco was nominated for "Pineapple Express" and was snubbed for a Best Supporting nomination for Milk.

Plus, where the hell was Josh Brolin!? He should have been nominated for Best Supporting Actor for Milk. It would've been fun to see the neck-to-neck tension between Brolin and Ledger, but it seems like the Hollywood Foreign Press disregarded a few choice performances and placed in cannon fodder, with the exception of Philip Seymour Hoffman for Doubt.

What will be very interesting to see is who will pick up a Best Director award. Sam Mendes is nominated for Revolutionary Road, which is a film I have yet to see. After reading the novel, I wept. So, I would like to see if Mendes' look at suburbia will make me cry as hard as the book, or as hard as American Beauty. David Fincher, another great auteur already making some nose with Benjamin Button, will be up for an award. Despite the list of great directors up for the gold, I was disappointed not to see Gus Van Sant or Mike Leigh's name under the Best Director list.

As for Best Actor, I am crossing my fingers to the point of getting arthritis for Sean Penn. Maybe, he might pull it off due to the rave reviews and the public outcry over Prop 8. But, I heard Mickey Rourke is making a comeback with The Wrestler. Two bad-ass actors, one Golden Globe. Who will leave the Thunderdome alive?

Well, I better go clean out my wallet and make my own decisions about who should be grabbing the Globes.